Sabot L'ours (sabotlours) wrote,
Sabot L'ours
sabotlours

20%

Sometimes I have to remind myself that I am a "subject matter expert" when it comes to water in NM. I take my knowledge for granted because I know there is so much out there that I DON'T know, but in the grand scheme of things, I know more than just about everyone else when it comes to the Rio Grande. The other day I was watching a program about the drought that has gripped our state. There was a blurb about how the City's water supply could be cut by 20% this year. I think there was even a picture of a big downward-pointing red arrow with "20%" in big letters on it. Where did that 20% figure come from? Largely my ass. *lol*

I had been sounding the alarm for months now that there probably would not be enough water in our reservoirs in 2013 to meet all of the demands of users. I was asked what type of shortage could be expected. A quick back-of-the-envelope calculation with lots of fudge factors and rounding showed the number to be about 20%. Obviously that number then propagated to reports and/or press releases because the next thing I knew 20% was the number of the hour. A more detailed calculation on the back of a slightly bigger envelope showed that the number was closer to 17.5%. Still, it's interesting to see that what I'm doing IS important and people ARE paying attention. It also keeps me on my toes to always provide the most accurate information as possible. That's not always easy as folks want to know what things are going to look like 6-12 months from now and 90% of the answer depends on weather.
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